A review of Moo’s 2013 ATP Predictions

On Tuesday, I reviewed my WTA predictions for 2013 and now it is the turn of the men where I had a more successful year.

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  • I averaged 59% correct picks in all draws (2% better than the women) and 4 correct quarter-finalists. I also correctly predicted 15 champions out of 36 draws, which amounted to a 43% success rate.
  • In stark contrast to my WTA predictions, I did really well at calling the Grand Slams this year.  I correctly predicted the finalists at two of the Grand Slams and the champion at three.  The only one I missed was when I went for a risk in backing Djokovic to beat Nadal at Roland Garros.  9-7 in the 5th set shows it wasn’t  a completely stupid pick.  Although I was unable to predict a Nadal v Ferrer final, I did correctly predict 7 of the 8 quarter-finalists at Roland Garros, which was a joint best for 2013.
  • Away from the Grand Slams, Shanghai was my best tournament of the year.  I came home with a 73% success rate and correctly called 6 out of 8 quarter-finalists including the unseeded, Florian Mayer.  I went with Del Potro to beat Nadal in the semi-finals and was correct in picking Novak Djokovic to win.  Montpellier was also a good tournament where I correctly went for a Gasquet v Paire final.
  • I had a few stinkers and I struggled with all the upsets through the entirety of the grass court season.  After several years of shock draws at Queens, I looked a little bit foolish with my draw of surprises.  I did manage to turn it around in time for Wimbledon, but the grass court season remains incredibly challenging.

Overall, I think I did a good job in predicting ATP tournaments this year.  The Grand Slams were great and I picked a respectable amount of winners throughout the whole year.  I started to go for a few more surprises at the end of 2013 and I will probably revert to being a bit more safe at the beginning in 2014.  I hope to do this analysis every year now and compare each year to year.

Coming Soon: The final look back at 2013 with some of my funniest moments of the year

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